Sports gambling is often very profitable if a person know the strategies the “smart money” gamblers work with to consistently make income. One of the greatest secrets that wise money gamblers use will be knowing when NOT to bet.
Here’s a excellent case in point. I actually analyzed the particular Western California vs. Louisville video game, and concluded that West California had the particular edge in the sport. Nevertheless , I actually also noticed that there initially were a good deal of random and capricious factors, and recommended to a clients that they accomplish not bet on this game. Here is our analysis I released just before the game:
West Las vegas vs . Louisville
This online game has all the symptoms of being one regarding the ideal games connected with the year, using each teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, along with Western Virginia coming back from being down large in the 4th 1 / 4 to winning throughout overtime.
So what’s the overall game appear like this year?
In case this video game were as played from some sort of fairly neutral field, West Virginia would probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since often the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…
West Virginia is on an unprecedented roll. That they haven’t lost given that Oct. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they dropped to California Tech. In the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last dokuz video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 STREET games.
These kind of are some very outstanding stats that tilt the particular scales in favor of WVU for tonight’s game. Plus, the additional bonus offer is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This could not appear like much, but in a shut match-up such as this, that spare point will make the variation between a good push in addition to a loss.
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Louisville’s numbers are almost as good like WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their previous 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS inside their very last 10 home activities.
Plus if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in your own home since 12 18, the year 2003! During this present run Louisville is averaging 49. 4 points for each game in your house, while hitting only letting go of 15. six points for every game from home. In case anyone did not do the math concepts, that means considering that their very own last home decline they are yet to averaged beating their own opponents by about 34 factors per game.
Furthermore outstanding, the average line during these games has only also been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten typically the divide, on average, by 13 things per online game at home since the year 2003.
Wow… how can you not in favor of that?
Here’s how…
Almost all of those stats have been built up during the 2004 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been closer to fine than great. They’ve acquired recent games in which they already have only scored twenty eight, twenty three, 24 points. That video games weren’t against Oh Stycken. or Michigan. They will ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.
To put it succinctly of which this is still a close sport to contact. Nonetheless the things i look to get is West Virginia’s safety to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s not any reason to think WVU can’t have one to typically the low to core 20’s. My honest professional recommendation is to lay off this particular game and definitely not wager at all. There are better activities this weekend break with more clear-cut benefits.
The final score of the game was Louisville 44, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to gain a good punt for the TD. The results was the fact that West Virginia’s advantage has not been so big they will may possibly still win immediately after generating so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this particular sport, people really serious concerning sports betting saved money these people can offer better employ on upcoming games.